Citizens’ League · Operation Citizen · Article I fiscal record

The public pays. Make each decision visible.

Use: investigation and oversight. You will leave with the funding record, the decision maker, a question that can be answered and a return date.

One fiscal system. Different powers. Follow the law, the money, and the result.

Follow the five connected decisions.

Constitution, Article I, sections 7–9

Read all five steps

TAX: Congress sets the legal terms.

Congress has taxing power. Revenue bills begin in the House; the Senate may amend them. Inspect the enacted provision, exemptions, rates, and who bears the burden. A statutory rate is not an effective tax rate.

REVENUE: The receipt is a measured flow.

Revenue is money received during a stated period. Economic conditions, timing, enforcement, and tax law affect it. Compare actual receipts with a defined baseline before claiming that a policy raised or lost revenue.

APPROPRIATE: A law supplies spending authority.

The Constitution requires an appropriation made by law before Treasury money is drawn. Inspect the amount, purpose, duration, and conditions. Some authority is permanent; not every payment depends on a new annual bill.

SPEND: Follow authority into payment.

An appropriation and an outlay are different stages. Ask which agency incurred an obligation and when money was paid. Check the payment against the law, then check whether the promised public result occurred.

BORROW / DEBT: Financing leaves a later obligation.

Congress has borrowing power. A deficit is an annual flow; debt is a stock at a date. Do not add a stock to a year’s spending. Separate debt held by the public from claims held within government.

The fiscal line needs an event record.

Receipts and outlays, fiscal years 1980–2022. Amounts are nominal dollars: they are not adjusted for inflation or the size of the economy. These annual totals describe the result; the event records help test its causes.

━━ Receipts┄┄ Outlays

The chart stops at 2022 because later years in this source edition are estimates. They are excluded. Event markers show timing, not a calculation of each event’s share of the deficit. No total is assigned to a president.

OMB Historical Tables, FY2024 edition, Table 1.1

Read or copy the complete annual table
Annual actuals, millions of nominal dollars
Fiscal yearReceiptsOutlaysSurplus / deficit (−)
1,980517,112590,941-73,830
1,981599,272678,241-78,968
1,982617,766745,743-127,977
1,983600,562808,364-207,802
1,984666,438851,805-185,367
1,985734,037946,344-212,308
1,986769,155990,382-221,227
1,987854,2871,004,017-149,730
1,988909,2381,064,416-155,178
1,989991,1041,143,743-152,639
1,9901,031,9581,252,993-221,036
1,9911,054,9881,324,226-269,238
1,9921,091,2081,381,529-290,321
1,9931,154,3341,409,386-255,051
1,9941,258,5661,461,752-203,186
1,9951,351,7901,515,742-163,952
1,9961,453,0531,560,484-107,431
1,9971,579,2321,601,116-21,884
1,9981,721,7281,652,45869,270
1,9991,827,4521,701,842125,610
2,0002,025,1911,788,950236,241
2,0011,991,0821,862,846128,236
2,0021,853,1362,010,894-157,758
2,0031,782,3142,159,899-377,585
2,0041,880,1142,292,841-412,727
2,0052,153,6112,471,957-318,346
2,0062,406,8692,655,050-248,181
2,0072,567,9852,728,686-160,701
2,0082,523,9912,982,544-458,553
2,0092,104,9893,517,677-1,412,688
2,0102,162,7063,457,079-1,294,373
2,0112,303,4663,603,065-1,299,599
2,0122,449,9903,526,563-1,076,573
2,0132,775,1063,454,881-679,775
2,0143,021,4913,506,284-484,793
2,0153,249,8903,691,850-441,960
2,0163,267,9653,852,615-584,650
2,0173,316,1843,981,634-665,450
2,0183,329,9074,109,047-779,140
2,0193,463,3644,446,960-983,596
2,0203,421,1646,553,621-3,132,457
2,0214,047,1116,822,470-2,775,359
2,0224,897,3996,273,324-1,375,925

Inspect the decisions beside the line.

Which receipts fund the government?

Compare the revenue categories before deciding who bears the cost. Social insurance and retirement receipts include more than a worker’s paycheck deduction. Corporate taxes can affect owners and workers. Receipt categories are not a household burden study.

The bars show each category’s share of total receipts for the selected year. They do not show statutory rates, effective rates, or the share of household income paid in tax.

Test the manuscript’s cumulative comparison

Using individual income taxes plus social insurance and retirement receipts, the 1980–2022 sum is $68.826 trillion. Corporate income receipts total $7.975 trillion. That is 43 fiscal years, not five decades. For the 50 years 1973–2022, the corresponding sums are $70.539 trillion and $8.312 trillion. These are nominal-dollar sums across years.

The available QC text uses approximately $68 trillion and $8 trillion over five decades. The first pair is close to a 1980–2022 extraction, but the original calculation has not been recovered. This is a reconciliation finding, not proof of the author’s intended start date. Do not silently change the original.

For 1960, the same category ratio is 2.58 to 1; for 2022 it is 9.69 to 1. Neither establishes how much individual citizens ultimately bore. CBO’s distribution analysis uses explicit assumptions to allocate corporate-tax burdens to capital owners and workers.

OMB FY2024 Table 2.1: receipts by sourceCBO: Distribution of Household Income, 2018, tax-incidence method

Read the annual category table
Millions of nominal dollars; rounding can affect sums
YearIndividualCorporateSocial insurance / retirementExciseOtherTotal
1,96040,71521,49414,68311,6763,92392,492
1,96141,33820,95416,43911,8603,79694,388
1,96245,57120,52317,04612,5344,00199,676
1,96347,58821,57919,80413,1944,395106,560
1,96448,69723,49321,96313,7314,731112,613
1,96548,79225,46122,24214,5705,753116,817
1,96655,44630,07325,54613,0626,708130,835
1,96761,52633,97132,61913,7196,987148,822
1,96868,72628,66533,92314,0797,580152,973
1,96987,24936,67839,01515,2228,718186,882
1,97090,41232,82944,36215,7059,499192,807
1,97186,23026,78547,32516,61410,185187,139
1,97294,73732,16652,57415,47712,355207,309
1,973103,24636,15363,11516,26012,026230,799
1,974118,95238,62075,07116,84413,737263,224
1,975122,38640,62184,53416,55114,998279,090
1,976131,60341,40990,76916,96317,317298,060
1,977157,62654,892106,48517,54819,008355,559
1,978180,98859,952120,96718,37619,278399,561
1,979217,84165,677138,93918,74522,101463,302
1,980244,06964,600157,80324,32926,311517,112
1,981285,91761,137182,72040,83928,659599,272
1,982297,74449,207201,49836,31133,006617,766
1,983288,93837,022208,99435,30030,309600,562
1,984298,41556,893239,37637,36134,392666,438
1,985334,53161,331265,16335,99237,020734,037
1,986348,95963,143283,90132,91940,233769,155
1,987392,55783,926303,31832,45742,029854,287
1,988401,18194,508334,33535,22743,987909,238
1,989445,690103,291359,41634,38648,321991,104
1,990466,88493,507380,04735,34556,1741,031,958
1,991467,82798,086396,01542,40250,6571,054,988
1,992475,964100,270413,68845,56955,7171,091,208
1,993509,680117,520428,29948,05750,7781,154,334
1,994543,055140,385461,47555,22558,4271,258,566
1,995590,244157,004484,47357,48462,5851,351,790
1,996656,417171,824509,41454,01461,3841,453,053
1,997737,466182,293539,37156,92463,1781,579,232
1,998828,586188,677571,83157,67374,9611,721,728
1,999879,480184,680611,83370,41481,0451,827,452
2,0001,004,462207,289652,85268,86591,7232,025,191
2,001994,339151,075693,96766,23285,4691,991,082
2,002858,345148,044700,76066,98978,9981,853,136
2,003793,699131,778712,97867,52476,3351,782,314
2,004808,959189,371733,40769,85578,5221,880,114
2,005927,222278,282794,12573,09480,8882,153,611
2,0061,043,908353,915837,82173,96197,2642,406,869
2,0071,163,472370,243869,60765,06999,5942,567,985
2,0081,145,747304,346900,15567,334106,4092,523,991
2,009915,308138,229890,91762,48398,0522,104,989
2,010898,549191,437864,81466,909140,9972,162,706
2,0111,091,473181,085818,79272,381139,7352,303,466
2,0121,132,206242,289845,31479,061151,1202,449,990
2,0131,316,405273,506947,82084,007153,3682,775,106
2,0141,394,568320,7311,023,45893,368189,3663,021,491
2,0151,540,802343,7971,065,25798,279201,7553,249,890
2,0161,546,075299,5711,115,06595,026212,2283,267,965
2,0171,587,120297,0481,161,89783,823186,2963,316,184
2,0181,683,538204,7331,170,70194,986175,9493,329,907
2,0191,717,857230,2451,243,11398,914173,2353,463,364
2,0201,608,663211,8451,309,95586,780203,9213,421,164
2,0212,044,377371,8311,314,08875,274241,5414,047,111
2,0222,632,146424,8651,483,52787,728269,1334,897,399

Follow the trust-fund claim as well as the cash.

Social Security’s trust funds hold securities. Treasury receives cash and owes the securities. Follow both sides of that record.

1. Dedicated receipts

Payroll and other program income enter the trust-fund accounts.

2. Statutory trust

The accounts track income, benefits, costs, and reserves.

3. Treasury security

Income is invested in Treasury securities. The trust holds an asset; Treasury owes the obligation.

4. Treasury cash

Cash exchanged for the securities enters Treasury’s general fund. It is distinct from the security held by the trust.

5. Redemption and interest

Securities are redeemed, with interest, to meet program costs.

6. Benefit payment

Cash pays benefits and authorized administrative costs. Keep the program record beside Treasury’s financing record.

The securities are obligations of the United States. Their existence does not settle the program’s long-term financing gap. Nor does the movement of cash erase the trust’s claim. This example describes Social Security; other trust funds have their own laws.

SSA: Social Security trust-fund accounts and investments

Ask for a record that can be reconciled.

Choose one act, account, and period. Ask your member of Congress for the legal authority, money authorized, money paid, recoveries, remaining obligation, and public result. Put the office’s response beside your question.

Prepare the requestKeep the resultIdentify the route to change

Source and coverage record

Checked September 5, 2026. Event selection follows the QC manuscript’s fiscal questions and the September 4 handoff. Primary records control the factual labels. The manuscript is preserved; the TARP cost distinction is recorded for reconciliation.

This edition contains 43 fiscal-total observations, 63 revenue-composition observations, and six event records. It does not yet complete the required fiscal history: revenue burden, deregulation-to-crisis chains, entitlement commitments, interest drivers, conflict costs and duration, the full appropriations ledger, and later annual actuals remain to be integrated. The administration filter selects overlapping fiscal years; transition years appear under both administrations. It does not attribute their totals or events to a president. These gaps are execution work, not a reason to replace the requested history with a debt counter.

Download the data and source register

How much of spending went to interest?

Use the fiscal-year and administration controls above to compare the same period. This view uses net budget interest. Gross Treasury interest is shown separately so the two measures are not confused.

Net interest reflects Treasury interest and the budget’s interest and investment-income offsets. Interest received by federal trust funds is part of that reconciliation. It remains a claim in the trust-fund accounts even though the unified budget treats it as an offset here.

A share of spending is not a share of national debt. The chart does not assign interest to one president, one tax law, or one crisis. Rates, the amount and timing of borrowing, and the composition of debt all matter; their separate effects are not estimated here.

Official OMB Table 3.2Data, offsets and source record

Same FY2024 source vintage as the main fiscal line: FY1980–2022 actuals, millions of nominal dollars. Later estimates are excluded. This is not a current-year interest ranking.

Read all 43 annual observations
Interest and total spending, FY1980–2022
Fiscal yearGross interestNet interestTotal outlaysNet interest / outlays
1,98074,80352,533590,9418.89%
1,98195,53568,766678,24110.14%
1,982117,22785,032745,74311.40%
1,983128,65389,808808,36411.11%
1,984153,866111,102851,80513.04%
1,985178,871129,478946,34413.68%
1,986190,272136,017990,38213.73%
1,987195,242138,6111,004,01713.81%
1,988214,047151,8031,064,41614.26%
1,989240,845168,9811,143,74314.77%
1,990264,691184,3471,252,99314.71%
1,991285,421194,4481,324,22614.68%
1,992292,294199,3441,381,52914.43%
1,993292,479198,7131,409,38614.10%
1,994296,253202,9321,461,75213.88%
1,995332,379232,1341,515,74215.31%
1,996343,918241,0531,560,48415.45%
1,997355,764243,9841,601,11615.24%
1,998363,759241,1181,652,45814.59%
1,999353,463229,7551,701,84213.50%
2,000361,925222,9491,788,95012.46%
2,001359,476206,1671,862,84611.07%
2,002332,537170,9492,010,8948.50%
2,003318,141153,0732,159,8997.09%
2,004321,679160,2452,292,8416.99%
2,005352,345183,9862,471,9577.44%
2,006405,866226,6032,655,0508.53%
2,007429,966237,1092,728,6868.69%
2,008451,143252,7572,982,5448.47%
2,009383,073186,9023,517,6775.31%
2,010413,934196,1943,457,0795.68%
2,011453,987229,9623,603,0656.38%
2,012359,219220,4083,526,5636.25%
2,013415,651220,8853,454,8816.39%
2,014429,538228,9563,506,2846.53%
2,015402,429223,1813,691,8506.05%
2,016429,950240,0333,852,6156.23%
2,017456,921262,5513,981,6346.59%
2,018521,553324,9754,109,0477.91%
2,019572,884375,1584,446,9608.44%
2,020522,644345,4706,553,6215.27%
2,021562,380352,3386,822,4705.16%
2,022717,568475,8876,273,3247.59%

Ask for a defined spending and interest record

How did major benefit-program outlays change?

Select a program, then use the fiscal-year and administration controls above. The chart compares its outlays with total federal spending. All points use the same 0–100% scale.

These are OMB’s program classifications. The total includes programs not shown separately and accounting offsets; do not add the four selected programs and call the result all mandatory spending. Net interest is shown separately above.

Outlays record spending in a year. They do not measure future benefit promises, the number of people served, adequacy of benefits or each household’s income. Nominal dollar changes also reflect prices; shares of total spending answer a different question.

OMB Table 8.5, FY2024 editionDownload the source record. FY1980–2022 actuals in millions of dollars; later estimates excluded. Program lines are preserved as published. Offsetting receipts appear elsewhere in the source, so these lines are not each program’s fully net fiscal cost.

Read all 43 years without the chart
Mandatory program outlays, millions of nominal dollars
FYSocial SecurityMedicareMedicaidUnemployment compensationTotal mandatory programsTotal federal outlays
1,980117,05331,01013,95716,889262,085590,941
1,981137,88137,92716,83318,319301,562678,241
1,982153,91645,31217,39122,278334,759745,743
1,983168,51351,24518,98529,568365,247808,364
1,984176,05256,00920,06117,019361,257851,805
1,985186,43264,08722,65515,844401,074946,344
1,986196,54768,44524,99516,135415,845990,382
1,987205,07273,39327,43515,475421,2451,004,017
1,988216,80876,90630,46213,641448,1951,064,416
1,989230,39582,71034,60413,940485,9301,143,743
1,990246,49595,80341,10317,128568,0681,252,993
1,991266,765102,04552,53325,112596,4991,324,226
1,992285,167116,17867,82736,999648,3821,381,529
1,993301,985127,90375,77435,461670,9191,409,386
1,994316,913141,83482,03426,440717,4801,461,752
1,995333,273156,88489,07021,305738,8471,515,742
1,996347,051171,27291,99022,583786,6981,560,484
1,997362,296187,44195,55220,595810,0951,601,116
1,998376,119190,233101,23419,586859,3451,652,458
1,999386,991187,694108,04221,356899,9741,701,842
2,000406,048194,115117,92120,742951,3751,788,950
2,001429,368214,061129,37427,9091,007,6381,862,846
2,002452,073227,699147,51250,6631,105,9952,010,894
2,003470,453245,709160,69354,4031,182,4872,159,899
2,004491,537264,890176,23142,3841,237,5312,292,841
2,005518,712294,334181,72032,3121,319,4302,471,957
2,006543,911324,879180,62531,0481,411,8232,655,050
2,007581,442370,775190,62432,4541,449,9872,728,686
2,008612,110385,817201,42642,7031,594,9032,982,544
2,009677,726425,095250,924119,1142,093,2393,517,677
2,010700,752446,477272,771157,0111,913,7193,457,079
2,011724,923479,923274,964117,2262,025,9663,603,065
2,012767,714466,018250,53490,7052,030,4503,526,563
2,013807,841491,809265,39267,2522,031,6343,454,881
2,014844,876505,303301,47242,6232,098,4613,506,284
2,015881,891539,873349,76231,5722,296,5283,691,850
2,016910,282588,361368,28032,1752,427,3273,852,615
2,017939,204591,401374,68230,4462,518,7733,981,634
2,018982,015581,848389,15728,0662,522,4364,109,047
2,0191,038,489643,876409,42127,0682,734,0984,446,960
2,0201,089,889768,924458,468471,5004,580,3336,553,621
2,0211,128,827688,826520,588390,8914,833,7286,822,470
2,0221,212,487747,195591,94933,1304,133,0616,273,324

Was annual funding ready?

All regular appropriations bills were enacted on or before October 1 in four of these 49 fiscal years. Continuing resolutions were enacted in 46 years, totaling 207 acts.

A CR count is not a shutdown count. FY1977 had all regular bills in place by October 1, yet two CRs funded omitted activities. The number of regular bills changed from 13 to 11 to 12; compare the denominator as well as the count.

This record runs through FY2025. It does not extend the spending actuals above beyond FY2022, measure disruption costs, or assign responsibility for delay.

Citizen check: identify the program, its funding law and expiry, and the service affected. Ask the responsible office for the documented consequence of a delay.

CRS R46595, March 27, 2025, Table 1Source record

Read all 49 fiscal years
Regular bills enacted on or before October 1 and CRs enacted
Fiscal yearRegular bills / totalCRs
197713 / 132
19789 / 133
19795 / 131
19803 / 132
19811 / 133
19821 / 134
19831 / 132
19844 / 132
19854 / 135
19860 / 135
19870 / 136
19880 / 135
198913 / 130
19901 / 133
19910 / 135
19923 / 134
19931 / 131
19942 / 133
199513 / 130
19960 / 1313
199713 / 130
19981 / 136
19991 / 136
20004 / 137
20012 / 1321
20020 / 138
20030 / 138
20043 / 135
20051 / 133
20062 / 113
20071 / 114
20080 / 124
20093 / 122
20101 / 122
20110 / 128
20120 / 125
20130 / 122
20140 / 124
20150 / 125
20160 / 123
20171 / 123
20180 / 125
20195 / 123
20200 / 122
20210 / 125
20220 / 124
20230 / 123
20240 / 124
20250 / 123

How long did interim funding last?

FY1998–2025: 134 interim CRs; average duration 118.18 days. Duration includes covered funding-gap intervals and can extend beyond regular-law enactment. It does not mean every program stayed under a CR throughout. Full-year CR remainders are excluded.

Calendar checks differ from published durations by one day in FY2013, 2015, 2017, 2018 and 2021. Both values are shown. The four later differences have been traced to the appendix rows below; the source does not explain why those rows depart from its stated counting rule.

FY2013: Table 2 gives March 26, while Appendix A and Public Law 112-175, section 106 give March 27 as the outer date. Earlier enactment can end funding sooner. The 178-day figure matches March 27.

Read 28 years of interim funding duration
CRS Table 2: interim funding
FYInterim CRsCRS daysInclusive calendar daysFinal interim expiryFull-year CR also enacted
1998657571997-11-26No
1999621211998-10-21No
2000763631999-12-02No
20012182822000-12-21No
200281021022002-01-10No
200381431432003-02-20No
200451231232004-01-31No
2005369692004-12-08No
2006392922005-12-31No
200731381382007-02-15Yes
2008492922007-12-31No
200921621622009-03-11No
2010279792009-12-18No
201171971972011-04-15Yes
2012584842011-12-23No
201311781772013-03-26Yes
201441101102014-01-18No
201551561572015-03-06No
2016383832015-12-22No
201732162172017-05-05No
201851731742018-03-23No
201931381382019-02-15No
2020281812019-12-20No
2021588892020-12-28No
202241661662022-03-15No
2023391912022-12-30No
202441601602024-03-08No
202521651652025-03-14Yes

Four one-day differences traced

CRS says to count each extension from the day after the previous expiry through the new expiry. Each row below is one day shorter than that rule. Adding the appendix durations reproduces each published annual total, so the difference originates in the source table.

Source durations compared with the report’s calendar rule
Fiscal yearExtension lawPrevious expiry → new expiryCRS daysCalendar days
2015Public Law 113-2022014-12-11 → 2014-12-1312
2017Public Law 114-2542016-12-09 → 2017-04-28139140
2018Public Law 115-1232018-02-08 → 2018-03-234243
2021Public Law 116-2462020-12-21 → 2020-12-2867

This does not establish an extra shutdown day or determine which activities had legal funding. Use the published count when quoting CRS; use the calendar count only with its method stated. The source’s reason for the difference remains unknown.

When did funding actually lapse?

The December 18, 2025 CRS record lists 21 funding gaps, from FY1977 through the first FY2026 gap. It counts full days between the expiry of budget authority and enactment of new authority. Next-day enactments with no full gap day are excluded.

A funding gap and a shutdown are different measures. Early gaps often did not stop agency operations. Later short gaps could end before shutdown procedures were completed. These dates alone do not establish which citizen services stopped or the cost.

This is a dated historical record. It does not establish whether additional gaps occurred after December 18, 2025. The FY2026 row does not extend the spending or CR series above.

Read all 21 events
Funding gaps: full days, not inclusive shutdown headlines
FYLast funded dateFirst full gap dayFull daysGap terminated
19771976-09-301976-10-01101976-10-11
19781977-09-301977-10-01121977-10-13
19781977-10-311977-11-0181977-11-09
19781977-11-301977-12-0181977-12-09
19791978-09-301978-10-01171978-10-18
19801979-09-301979-10-01111979-10-12
19821981-11-201981-11-2121981-11-23
19831982-09-301982-10-0111982-10-02
19831982-12-171982-12-1831982-12-21
19841983-11-101983-11-1131983-11-14
19851984-09-301984-10-0121984-10-03
19851984-10-031984-10-0411984-10-05
19871986-10-161986-10-1711986-10-18
19881987-12-181987-12-1911987-12-20
19911990-10-051990-10-0631990-10-09
19961995-11-131995-11-1451995-11-19
19961995-12-151995-12-16211996-01-06
20142013-09-302013-10-01162013-10-17
20182018-01-192018-01-2022018-01-22
20192018-12-212018-12-22342019-01-25
20262025-09-302025-10-01422025-11-12

Source note: the report summary prints “2015” for the FY2026 termination year. Its table gives 2025, used here.

CRS RS20348, Table 1 and counting notesDownload event records

Turn the date into a citizen question

Which office or program serves you? Identify its funding account, then request its lapse plan and actual service record. Record delayed payments, appointments or decisions with dates and supporting documents. Keep the legal funding interval separate from your documented experience.

Record your evidence in the action workbench

What did the lapse do to people and services?

Use the dates above to locate the event. Then inspect evidence of effects. A delayed payment, lost output and a cancelled service are different measures.

2018–2019: delayed spending and lost output

CBO estimates published January 28, 2019
MeasureEstimateMeaning
Delayed federal discretionary spending$18 billionCompensation and purchases delayed; not permanently lost GDP
Q4 2018 real GDP reduction$3 billionRelative to estimated no-shutdown output
Q1 2019 real GDP reduction$8 billionIncludes estimated resumption effects
GDP not expected to be recovered$3 billionPart of the combined $11 billion quarterly shortfall, not additional to it

The two quarterly GDP reductions total $11 billion in 2019 dollars. The $3 billion expected to remain unrecovered is part of that total. Do not add either figure to the $18 billion of delayed spending as a combined loss. CBO reported considerable uncertainty and excluded some indirect effects. These are estimates made then, not an audited final bill.

CBO report and methods

October 2013: specific services and recovery

Selected effects in GAO’s three-department review
ProgramRecorded effectBoundary or recovery
NIH clinical-trial registryNew registrations initially stopped; a small recalled staff reopened the registry.Does not establish that all clinical trials stopped.
NIH grant reviewReview of more than 13,700 applications was rescheduled; NIH met the next January 2014 milestone.Most current recipients could still draw funds.
DOE Environmental ManagementMore than 1,700 contractor employees were laid off or required to take leave after stop-work orders.Contract activity generally continued using multiyear funding; some programs reported four months to recover.
Merchant Marine AcademyClosure required an academic-calendar change to allow eligible students to graduate on time.Longer-term effects cannot readily be separated from other budget events.

GAO’s recommendation to document lessons learned was marked implemented after OMB revised Circular A-11 in June 2015. That is documented procedural follow-through; it does not prove later harms were prevented.

GAO-15-86 findings and recommendation statusEvidence record

Your action record

Name the service and the affected person or group. Record the expected date, actual date, notice received, documented expense and requested remedy. Separate your experience from a national estimate. Ask what changed after the service resumed and what record proves it.

Prepare an action and follow-through record

Aviation: who keeps the freedom, and who carries the obligation?

The March 2026 WP-031 draft states:

The central finding is not that deregulation caused these crises but that industries cannot claim free-market freedoms while retaining public rescue eligibility.

Test that public-obligation argument against the actual sequence. Keep beneficial outcomes, adverse outcomes and alternative explanations in the record.

Aviation evidence trail: historical rule change and dated outcome checks
StageWhat the source establishesLimit
Rule changeThe 1978 Airline Deregulation Act phased out federal control of domestic fares and service. Source · 2006-06-09This identifies the institutional change; it does not attribute every later outcome to that act.
Competition and consolidationGAO’s 2026 review found short-run fare increases of 1–8% in three strong merger studies on overlapping routes. Its longer-term indicators nevertheless suggested increased competition; estimated fares including available ancillary fees were lower in 2024 than in 2007. Source · 2026-06-25Route-specific merger effects and broad trends answer different questions. Neither proves a universal path from consolidation to higher fares.
Citizen accessGAO reported average daily departures per route at nonhub airports were 19% lower in 2024 than in 2018. More than 70% of nonhub airports without EAS support experienced declines. Source · 2026-06-04Nonhub airports are a defined population. Workforce and operating costs also matter; this is not an isolated estimate of deregulation’s effect.
Public interventionCBO reported $63 billion provided for pandemic payroll support and $59 billion distributed. The separate Section 4003 loan program authorized up to $46 billion and distributed less than $3 billion. Source · 2026-06-25Payroll assistance supported employee pay. The loan program also included national-security businesses. Authority, cash distributed and net cost are different measures.
Return and remaining exposureRecipients of the largest payroll awards issued $15 billion in notes; more than half remained outstanding in April 2026. Public companies also issued warrants. Source · 2026-06-25Repayments and asset proceeds belong in a cost reconciliation. These facts do not prove that the support had no worker or public benefit.

What a citizen can ask

For a proposed rescue, identify the recipient, instrument, amount and public purpose. Ask which conditions protect workers, service access and the public’s financial interest; who checks compliance; and which report shows the result. For your route or airport, compare fares, fees, frequency and reliability over the same period.

The evidence supports scrutiny of the exchange between public support and public obligation. It does not establish that deregulation caused a pandemic, that every merger raised every fare, or that citizens received no benefit from payroll assistance.

Source reconciliation: WP-031’s $59 billion figure cannot serve as a verified total for all historical airline rescues. CBO’s figure here refers specifically to pandemic payroll assistance. The original draft is preserved.

Inspect the case and source reconciliationTest household benefitPrepare the citizen record

Finance: trace risk into public obligation

Ask who could take the risk, who was responsible for checking it, and who carried the loss when the institution could not. The savings-and-loan crisis and the 2008 crisis are separate episodes; compare their mechanisms without collapsing their costs.

Financial-sector evidence: mechanisms, disagreement and accounting
StageSource-backed recordWhat remains distinct
Savings and loans: exposure before the rescueThrifts funded long-term fixed-rate mortgages with shorter-term deposits. Rising rates damaged asset values and funding economics. Regulators allowed insolvent institutions to remain open and expanded permissible activities. A Turbulent History; written November 22, 2013The official history identifies interest-rate exposure, regulatory forbearance and broader lending powers together. Deregulation alone is an incomplete causal explanation.
Savings and loans: public resolutionFIRREA in 1989 reorganized supervision and created the Resolution Trust Corporation. RTC closed 747 thrifts with over $407 billion in assets; the Federal Reserve history cites taxpayer cost estimated as high as $124 billion. Resolution; written November 22, 2013Institution assets are not taxpayer losses. The cost is a dated historical estimate; do not combine it with assets or treat it as an estimate for the 2008 crisis.
2008 crisis: majority findingThe Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission majority identified failures in financial regulation and supervision as devastating to stability. Six commissioners adopted the report; four dissented. Printed pages viii and xviii; official edition corrected through February 25, 2011This is an attributed inquiry finding. It is not a unanimous conclusion or a judicial finding that a single law caused the crisis.
2008 crisis: competing accountHennessey, Holtz-Eakin and Thomas argued that a U.S.-regulation-centered account underweighted the global credit bubble. Their dissent emphasized global capital flows and repricing of risk. Dissent, printed pages 414–422Preserve this dispute when presenting causal conclusions. Chronology and rescue spending alone cannot resolve it.
Rescue accounting and citizen resultThe TARP panel in this companion separates $700 billion initial authority, $443.5 billion disbursements and $31.1 billion lifetime cost through September 30, 2023, as reported by GAO. Existing checked TARP record in this kitTARP is one program, not the entire crisis cost. Repayment does not measure lost homes, jobs or household wealth; those require their own evidence.

What would prove a public obligation was met?

For one intervention, identify the legal authority, recipient, instrument, conditions, oversight office and reporting date. Record money committed, money paid, recoveries and remaining exposure separately. Then ask whether the promised protection reached depositors, borrowers, workers or communities—and which evidence measures that result.

A repaid loan can coexist with severe household harm. A large authorization can coexist with a smaller net program cost. Neither observation answers the entire citizen question.

Read the case recordPrepare the evidence requestInspect household outcomes

Electricity: follow the charge through the remedy

A ratepayer sees the bill. The underlying record may involve a wholesale market, a utility’s contracts, a state rate decision and a federal refund order. Identify each stage before assigning a charge or a remedy to one office.

California and the Western energy crisis: findings and remedies
StageWhat the source establishesBoundary
Market designGAO found that California’s design enabled wholesale suppliers to raise prices above competitive levels in summer 2000 and other periods. Retail price freezes and limits on long-term utility contracts contributed to that ability. GAO-02-828, June 21, 2002; released July 17GAO explicitly did not decide whether the exercise of market power violated law. Market power and an adjudicated violation are different findings.
Investigation and contributing conditionsFERC’s account of its March 2003 staff investigation identifies drought-reduced supply, inadequate infrastructure and flawed market design as conditions contributing to manipulation that worsened the crisis. Agency retrospective, last updated June 8, 2020Preserve the multiple contributing conditions. This is not evidence that every price increase was manipulation or that one factor explains the whole crisis.
Remedy recordFERC’s June 2020 page reports $6.3 billion in monetary settlements stemming from the crisis. Western Energy Crisis SettlementsThis is the total reported on a dated page, not a verified current total, total crisis cost, or proof of credits received by each household.
Public oversight after the failureFERC describes creation of its Office of Enforcement in 2002 and enhanced civil-penalty authority under the Energy Policy Act of 2005. Its records distinguish the gaming case EL03-180, Enron investigation PA02-2 and refund case EL00-95. Chronology and case directoryA new office or authority is not itself evidence that future harm was prevented. Read the applicable orders and actual compliance record.

The citizen’s next question

If a supplier paid a settlement, what portion reached your utility? What order determined its treatment? Was it credited to customer bills, and over which period? Ask for the settlement allocation, utility accounting and customer-credit schedule. Keep copies of the bills that show the result.

The source draft’s broader cost figures still need reconciliation. A settlement total cannot stand in for total extraction, total crisis cost or the amount returned to citizens.

Inspect the source reconciliationRecord the charge, request and response

Prescription drugs: did the price change reach the patient?

A manufacturer price, a negotiated Medicare price and your pharmacy payment are different points in the transaction. Follow the same medicine, strength, quantity, coverage and date before comparing them.

Drug-price evidence and public action
StageRecordLimit
Define the price comparisonRAND’s 2024 study using 2022 data found U.S. manufacturer gross prices at 2.78 times comparison-country prices across all drugs, and 4.22 times for brand-name originator drugs. Unbranded generics were generally cheaper in the U.S. SourceThese are manufacturer-price comparisons, not patient copays. WP-031’s description of 2.78 times as a brand-name result is incorrect.
Identify the public leverThe Inflation Reduction Act created direct Medicare negotiation for selected high-expenditure single-source drugs. CMS’s first cycle selected ten Part D drugs, with prices effective January 1, 2026. SourceThis is a defined program, not negotiating power over every medicine or every payer. The earlier noninterference framework is not a complete statement of current authority.
Keep estimates separate from deliveryIn August 2024, CMS estimated $6 billion lower net spending if the agreed prices had applied in 2023, and projected $1.5 billion of beneficiary savings for 2026. SourceThe $6 billion is a counterfactual estimate; the $1.5 billion was a projection. Neither is a measured final 2026 savings total or an amount promised to each patient.
Check implementationCMS’s 2026 proposed-rule announcement confirms that the first ten negotiated prices took effect January 1, 2026. SourceA proposed rule is not a final rule. The announcement establishes implementation timing, not this patient’s actual cost or uninterrupted access.

Make the benefit visible

Keep the prescription, dated pharmacy receipts, plan explanation of benefits and any coverage notice. Record the same supply before and after the change. Ask the plan to explain differences in deductible, copay, coinsurance and coverage. Record access problems separately from price changes. This worksheet does not advise changing treatment.

The international price gap raises a public-policy question; it does not by itself prove that a particular patent, public research grant or pricing clause caused the entire gap.

Source reconciliationHousehold benefit comparisonRecord your evidence and request

Retirement: who carries the risk, and what reaches the worker?

A growing retirement market does not, by itself, establish a secure retirement. Ask what was promised, who supplied the money, who carried the investment risk, and what income the worker can actually draw.

Retirement promise, participation and distribution evidence
QuestionRecordLimit
Identify the promiseA defined-benefit plan promises a benefit under a formula. A defined-contribution plan pays from an individual account whose value depends on contributions and investment gains or losses. Most traditional defined-benefit plans have PBGC protection within limits. SourceAn account-style statement alone does not identify the plan: cash-balance plans are defined-benefit plans. Check the actual plan documents.
Locate investment riskBLS explains that defined-contribution participants bear investment risk. Its December 2016 article also describes employer cost predictability and worker portability as features of these plans. SourceThis explains the mechanism; it does not prove every employer changed plans for the same reason, or that every participant lost money.
Separate participation from accessIn March 2016, 44% of private-industry workers participated in defined-contribution plans: 63% of management, professional and related workers versus 19% of service workers. SourceThese are dated participation rates, not current rates, plan access rates, retirement adequacy or shares of tax benefits.
Test the distribution claimGAO’s 2011 analysis of 2007 data found about 5% of defined-contribution participants contributed at or above statutory limits. About 72% of that group had earnings in the top tenth of participants. SourceThe denominator is plan participants, not all earners. This contribution-limit finding is separate from the tax-benefit distribution measured below.
Check the chapbook’s 2023 figureBLS reports that 15% of private-industry workers had access to a defined-benefit plan in March 2023, and 11% participated. For defined-contribution plans, the figures were 67% and 49%. SourceThese are shares of private-industry workers, not retirees. Workers can have both plan types. Neither pension access nor participation supports the chapbook’s broad 4% figure.
Use a comparable time windowBLS’s published access series shows defined-benefit access falling from 20% in March 2010 to 15% in March 2023. Defined-contribution access rose from 59% to 67% over those same dates. SourceThis is a 2010–2023 access comparison, not a verified 1980–2023 participation series. It does not identify individual employer conversions or establish a dollar amount of obligations transferred to households. The original 1980, $3–4 trillion and 93 million claims remain unverified.
Follow the tax benefitCBO’s October 2021 report, Table 2, estimates that in 2019 the highest-income fifth of households received 63% of the income-tax benefit from pensions and retirement savings accounts. The lowest two fifths received 0.7% and 3.8%. SourceThis is a 2019 income-tax estimate using a present-value method. It is not a current distribution or the payroll-tax distribution. WP-031’s top-5% wording is corrected to the top fifth; recovered WP-010 already uses the latter.
Identify the fiscal measureJCT’s December 3, 2025 report lists FY2025 estimates of $197.3 billion for defined-contribution plans, $134.7 billion for defined-benefit plans, $19.1 billion for traditional IRAs, $15.5 billion for Roth IRAs and $16.2 billion for Keogh plans. Their arithmetic sum is $382.8 billion. SourceThese are income-tax expenditure estimates, not cash disbursements. The sum is not a jointly modeled repeal estimate: interactions and behavioral responses matter. Do not apply CBO’s 2019 distribution mechanically to this different-year, different-method total.

Follow your own benefit

  1. Keep the plan description, benefit statement, contribution history, fee disclosures and any notice changing the plan. Record the dates and plan type.
  2. Separate your contributions from employer contributions. Identify the vested amount, investment change, fees and withdrawals; an increase funded by your own wages is not the same as an employer-funded gain.
  3. For a promised pension, record the benefit formula, service credit, retirement age and payment options. For an account, distinguish the current balance from any estimated monthly income and retain the estimate’s assumptions.
  4. Ask the plan administrator to explain an unexplained difference in writing. Preserve the response and the plan’s claims or review instructions. Use the action workbench to track the question and next step.

Request: “Please reconcile the benefit described in my plan documents with my current statement. Identify employee and employer contributions, vesting, fees, investment changes and any change to the benefit formula, with the effective dates and supporting records.”

This record supports a question about retirement security. It does not turn an account balance into guaranteed income or establish that one policy caused every shortfall.

Source reconciliation and open claimsKeep your evidence and requestWhere the benefit stopped

Trucking: cheaper service and worker security

Historical freight evidence and its limits
QuestionRecordLimit
Entry and price competitionGAO’s November 1983 testimony described the Motor Carrier Act of 1980 as easing entry, lifting restrictions and encouraging price competition. It found that service changes generally benefited small communities and shippers. SourceThis is an early historical assessment, not a finding about every community or present-day trucking service.
Workers and business failuresThe same testimony attributed carrier failures to both the weak economy and competition. It found increased layoffs among union workers consistent with lifting entry and pricing restrictions, but the union study did not establish how many laid-off workers found other jobs. SourceA shipper benefit and a worker loss can coexist. The record does not quantify all lifetime worker losses or verify WP-031’s $72 billion annual productivity figure.

Make the public result visible

For a shipment, compare the same route, load, delivery promise and total charge. For a workforce change, keep wage, hours, benefits, layoff dates and subsequent employment separate from carrier savings. Ask the relevant employer or carrier to reconcile the claimed benefit with the dated record.

Record your evidence and requestRead the source reconciliation

Rail: industry recovery and the dependent shipper

Historical freight evidence and its limits
QuestionRecordLimit
Industry recovery and ratesGAO’s October 2006 review found improved railroad financial health. Rates generally fell from 1985 to 2000, then rose slightly from 2001 to 2004. Competition and shipper dependence remained concerns. SourceA national rate trend does not describe every route. GAO found its measures of captive shippers imperfect.
Dependence and public investmentGAO found some markets warranted further inquiry into possible excessive rates, rather than declaring abuse proved. It also described public freight investment, including $100 million Congress provided for Chicago-area rail improvements in 2005. SourceInfrastructure investment is not automatically an emergency rescue. A claim of no rescue cycle does not establish that no public support exists.

Make the public result visible

Identify the route, commodity, volume, competing transport options, full charges and service failures. For a publicly funded project, ask the sponsoring public office for the award conditions, promised public benefits and measured results. A rate complaint requires checking current eligibility and procedure; this historical comparison does not establish either.

Record your evidence and requestRead the source reconciliation

Telecommunications: follow the support to the service

A public contribution and a working connection are separate facts. Ask what the charge funds, which service was promised, and what people actually received.

Universal-service funding and billing — checked September 5, 2026
QuestionRecordLimit
Date the contribution factorUSAC lists Universal Service Fund contribution factors of 37.6% for January–March 2026, 37.0% for April–June, and 38.8% for July–September. The factor changes quarterly. SourceThese are not percentages of every customer’s entire internet or phone bill. The assessed revenue base matters.
Identify what is fundedFCC notice DA 26-546, released June 12, 2026, lists a third-quarter collection requirement of $2,003.13 million across schools and libraries, rural health care, high-cost support and Lifeline, after adjustments. SourceThis is a projected quarterly collection requirement, not proof of final spending, successful service delivery or a rescue of a failing company.
Trace the customer line itemThe same notice states that a carrier’s federal universal-service line item may not exceed 38.8% of the interstate telecommunications charges on a customer’s bill during the third quarter of 2026. SourceThe rule is scoped to the named line item and charge base. Ask for the calculation before asserting an overcharge; an unrelated fee is not automatically a federal universal-service charge.

Make the charge explainable

Keep the dated bill and service agreement. Identify the exact federal universal-service line item and ask the provider to show the interstate charge base and quarterly factor used. Record other fees separately. For a publicly supported connection, ask the awarding office or program administrator for the award conditions, required service, completion record and reported results.

Keep outage dates, service tickets and any credit with the promise being tested. These records can establish a specific service problem; they do not by themselves prove that consolidation or deregulation caused it.

Record the request and responseReadable source reconciliation

Compare the industries: what did the public receive?

Use the same questions across industries, then keep the answers within the evidence. A tax preference, emergency loan, settlement and negotiated price are different public actions. They cannot be added into a single cost without reconciling their meaning and dates.

8 sectors shown; all have bounded source comparisons; full histories remain unfinished.

Industry records and citizen requests — source dates and limits retained
IndustryWhat the record establishesNext citizen request
Aviation
  • Rule change: The 1978 Airline Deregulation Act phased out federal control of domestic fares and service. Source
    Limit: This identifies the institutional change; it does not attribute every later outcome to that act.
  • Competition and consolidation: GAO’s 2026 review found short-run fare increases of 1–8% in three strong merger studies on overlapping routes. Its longer-term indicators nevertheless suggested increased competition; estimated fares including available ancillary fees were lower in 2024 than in 2007. Source
    Limit: Route-specific merger effects and broad trends answer different questions. Neither proves a universal path from consolidation to higher fares.
  • Citizen access: GAO reported average daily departures per route at nonhub airports were 19% lower in 2024 than in 2018. More than 70% of nonhub airports without EAS support experienced declines. Source
    Limit: Nonhub airports are a defined population. Workforce and operating costs also matter; this is not an isolated estimate of deregulation’s effect.
  • Public intervention: CBO reported $63 billion provided for pandemic payroll support and $59 billion distributed. The separate Section 4003 loan program authorized up to $46 billion and distributed less than $3 billion. Source
    Limit: Payroll assistance supported employee pay. The loan program also included national-security businesses. Authority, cash distributed and net cost are different measures.
  • Return and remaining exposure: Recipients of the largest payroll awards issued $15 billion in notes; more than half remained outstanding in April 2026. Public companies also issued warrants. Source
    Limit: Repayments and asset proceeds belong in a cost reconciliation. These facts do not prove that the support had no worker or public benefit.
Ask for route-level service changes and the conditions attached to public support. Record the request
Financial services
  • Savings and loans: exposure before the rescue: Thrifts funded long-term fixed-rate mortgages with shorter-term deposits. Rising rates damaged asset values and funding economics. Regulators allowed insolvent institutions to remain open and expanded permissible activities. Source
    Limit: The official history identifies interest-rate exposure, regulatory forbearance and broader lending powers together. Deregulation alone is an incomplete causal explanation.
  • Savings and loans: public resolution: FIRREA in 1989 reorganized supervision and created the Resolution Trust Corporation. RTC closed 747 thrifts with over $407 billion in assets; the Federal Reserve history cites taxpayer cost estimated as high as $124 billion. Source
    Limit: Institution assets are not taxpayer losses. The cost is a dated historical estimate; do not combine it with assets or treat it as an estimate for the 2008 crisis.
  • 2008 crisis: majority finding: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission majority identified failures in financial regulation and supervision as devastating to stability. Six commissioners adopted the report; four dissented. Source
    Limit: This is an attributed inquiry finding. It is not a unanimous conclusion or a judicial finding that a single law caused the crisis.
  • 2008 crisis: competing account: Hennessey, Holtz-Eakin and Thomas argued that a U.S.-regulation-centered account underweighted the global credit bubble. Their dissent emphasized global capital flows and repricing of risk. Source
    Limit: Preserve this dispute when presenting causal conclusions. Chronology and rescue spending alone cannot resolve it.
  • Rescue accounting and citizen result: The TARP panel in this companion separates $700 billion initial authority, $443.5 billion disbursements and $31.1 billion lifetime cost through September 30, 2023, as reported by GAO. Source
    Limit: TARP is one program, not the entire crisis cost. Repayment does not measure lost homes, jobs or household wealth; those require their own evidence.
Ask for the named rescue program, amounts disbursed, repayments and the remaining public exposure. Record the request
Electricity
  • Market design: GAO found that California’s design enabled wholesale suppliers to raise prices above competitive levels in summer 2000 and other periods. Retail price freezes and limits on long-term utility contracts contributed to that ability. Source
    Limit: GAO explicitly did not decide whether the exercise of market power violated law. Market power and an adjudicated violation are different findings.
  • Investigation and contributing conditions: FERC’s account of its March 2003 staff investigation identifies drought-reduced supply, inadequate infrastructure and flawed market design as conditions contributing to manipulation that worsened the crisis. Source
    Limit: Preserve the multiple contributing conditions. This is not evidence that every price increase was manipulation or that one factor explains the whole crisis.
  • Remedy record: FERC’s June 2020 page reports $6.3 billion in monetary settlements stemming from the crisis. Source
    Limit: This is the total reported on a dated page, not a verified current total, total crisis cost, or proof of credits received by each household.
  • Public oversight after the failure: FERC describes creation of its Office of Enforcement in 2002 and enhanced civil-penalty authority under the Energy Policy Act of 2005. Its records distinguish the gaming case EL03-180, Enron investigation PA02-2 and refund case EL00-95. Source
    Limit: A new office or authority is not itself evidence that future harm was prevented. Read the applicable orders and actual compliance record.
Ask how the relevant settlement was allocated and whether it reached the customer bill. Record the request
Prescription drugs
  • Define the price comparison: RAND’s 2024 study using 2022 data found U.S. manufacturer gross prices at 2.78 times comparison-country prices across all drugs, and 4.22 times for brand-name originator drugs. Unbranded generics were generally cheaper in the U.S. Source
    Limit: These are manufacturer-price comparisons, not patient copays. WP-031’s description of 2.78 times as a brand-name result is incorrect.
  • Identify the public lever: The Inflation Reduction Act created direct Medicare negotiation for selected high-expenditure single-source drugs. CMS’s first cycle selected ten Part D drugs, with prices effective January 1, 2026. Source
    Limit: This is a defined program, not negotiating power over every medicine or every payer. The earlier noninterference framework is not a complete statement of current authority.
  • Keep estimates separate from delivery: In August 2024, CMS estimated $6 billion lower net spending if the agreed prices had applied in 2023, and projected $1.5 billion of beneficiary savings for 2026. Source
    Limit: The $6 billion is a counterfactual estimate; the $1.5 billion was a projection. Neither is a measured final 2026 savings total or an amount promised to each patient.
  • Check implementation: CMS’s 2026 proposed-rule announcement confirms that the first ten negotiated prices took effect January 1, 2026. Source
    Limit: A proposed rule is not a final rule. The announcement establishes implementation timing, not this patient’s actual cost or uninterrupted access.
Compare the same medicine, strength, supply and coverage; ask the plan to reconcile the payment change. Record the request
Retirement
  • Identify the promise: A defined-benefit plan promises a benefit under a formula. A defined-contribution plan pays from an individual account whose value depends on contributions and investment gains or losses. Most traditional defined-benefit plans have PBGC protection within limits. Source
    Limit: An account-style statement alone does not identify the plan: cash-balance plans are defined-benefit plans. Check the actual plan documents.
  • Locate investment risk: BLS explains that defined-contribution participants bear investment risk. Its December 2016 article also describes employer cost predictability and worker portability as features of these plans. Source
    Limit: This explains the mechanism; it does not prove every employer changed plans for the same reason, or that every participant lost money.
  • Separate participation from access: In March 2016, 44% of private-industry workers participated in defined-contribution plans: 63% of management, professional and related workers versus 19% of service workers. Source
    Limit: These are dated participation rates, not current rates, plan access rates, retirement adequacy or shares of tax benefits.
  • Test the distribution claim: GAO’s 2011 analysis of 2007 data found about 5% of defined-contribution participants contributed at or above statutory limits. About 72% of that group had earnings in the top tenth of participants. Source
    Limit: The denominator is plan participants, not all earners. This contribution-limit finding is separate from the tax-benefit distribution measured below.
  • Check the chapbook’s 2023 figure: BLS reports that 15% of private-industry workers had access to a defined-benefit plan in March 2023, and 11% participated. For defined-contribution plans, the figures were 67% and 49%. Source
    Limit: These are shares of private-industry workers, not retirees. Workers can have both plan types. Neither pension access nor participation supports the chapbook’s broad 4% figure.
  • Use a comparable time window: BLS’s published access series shows defined-benefit access falling from 20% in March 2010 to 15% in March 2023. Defined-contribution access rose from 59% to 67% over those same dates. Source
    Limit: This is a 2010–2023 access comparison, not a verified 1980–2023 participation series. It does not identify individual employer conversions or establish a dollar amount of obligations transferred to households. The original 1980, $3–4 trillion and 93 million claims remain unverified.
  • Follow the tax benefit: CBO’s October 2021 report, Table 2, estimates that in 2019 the highest-income fifth of households received 63% of the income-tax benefit from pensions and retirement savings accounts. The lowest two fifths received 0.7% and 3.8%. Source
    Limit: This is a 2019 income-tax estimate using a present-value method. It is not a current distribution or the payroll-tax distribution. WP-031’s top-5% wording is corrected to the top fifth; recovered WP-010 already uses the latter.
  • Identify the fiscal measure: JCT’s December 3, 2025 report lists FY2025 estimates of $197.3 billion for defined-contribution plans, $134.7 billion for defined-benefit plans, $19.1 billion for traditional IRAs, $15.5 billion for Roth IRAs and $16.2 billion for Keogh plans. Their arithmetic sum is $382.8 billion. Source
    Limit: These are income-tax expenditure estimates, not cash disbursements. The sum is not a jointly modeled repeal estimate: interactions and behavioral responses matter. Do not apply CBO’s 2019 distribution mechanically to this different-year, different-method total.
Ask the administrator to reconcile the promised benefit, contributions, vesting, fees and changes. Record the request
Trucking
  • Entry and price competition: GAO’s November 1983 testimony described the Motor Carrier Act of 1980 as easing entry, lifting restrictions and encouraging price competition. It found that service changes generally benefited small communities and shippers. Source
    Limit: This is an early historical assessment, not a finding about every community or present-day trucking service.
  • Workers and business failures: The same testimony attributed carrier failures to both the weak economy and competition. It found increased layoffs among union workers consistent with lifting entry and pricing restrictions, but the union study did not establish how many laid-off workers found other jobs. Source
    Limit: A shipper benefit and a worker loss can coexist. The record does not quantify all lifetime worker losses or verify WP-031’s $72 billion annual productivity figure.
Compare shipper service and worker outcomes separately, using dated records. Record the request
Rail
  • Industry recovery and rates: GAO’s October 2006 review found improved railroad financial health. Rates generally fell from 1985 to 2000, then rose slightly from 2001 to 2004. Competition and shipper dependence remained concerns. Source
    Limit: A national rate trend does not describe every route. GAO found its measures of captive shippers imperfect.
  • Dependence and public investment: GAO found some markets warranted further inquiry into possible excessive rates, rather than declaring abuse proved. It also described public freight investment, including $100 million Congress provided for Chicago-area rail improvements in 2005. Source
    Limit: Infrastructure investment is not automatically an emergency rescue. A claim of no rescue cycle does not establish that no public support exists.
Trace route-specific charges and the measured benefits of any public investment. Record the request
Telecommunications
  • Date the contribution factor: USAC lists Universal Service Fund contribution factors of 37.6% for January–March 2026, 37.0% for April–June, and 38.8% for July–September. The factor changes quarterly. Source
    Limit: These are not percentages of every customer’s entire internet or phone bill. The assessed revenue base matters.
  • Identify what is funded: FCC notice DA 26-546, released June 12, 2026, lists a third-quarter collection requirement of $2,003.13 million across schools and libraries, rural health care, high-cost support and Lifeline, after adjustments. Source
    Limit: This is a projected quarterly collection requirement, not proof of final spending, successful service delivery or a rescue of a failing company.
  • Trace the customer line item: The same notice states that a carrier’s federal universal-service line item may not exceed 38.8% of the interstate telecommunications charges on a customer’s bill during the third quarter of 2026. Source
    Limit: The rule is scoped to the named line item and charge base. Ask for the calculation before asserting an overcharge; an unrelated fee is not automatically a federal universal-service charge.
Ask for the quarterly factor and interstate charge base behind the federal line item; trace supported service separately. Record the request

These comparisons do not rank industries or prove one universal cause. Follow the industry link for its fuller explanation and keep a response, receipt or result with your action record.

What does the cycle evidence establish?

The recovered deregulation research asks who retains access to a public rescue after market rules are loosened. A sequence of events is a starting point for that inquiry. It does not, by itself, prove what caused a crisis.

Keep support authorized, money disbursed, peak exposure, repayments, and final cost separate. A promise to lend and a dollar permanently lost are different measures. Some programs overlap; adding them without reconciliation can count the same support twice.

. The broader sector-by-sector cycle and causal evidence remain to be integrated.

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