This reading edition presents the supporting record, including dates, limits and open questions. It preserves the recorded findings; a source note is not a certification that every claim is settled.
- Event
- 2018–2019 partial shutdown
- Fiscal year
- 2019
- Source
- Open source
- Source date
- 2019-01-28
- Evidence type
- Contemporaneous model estimate, not an audited final loss
- Metrics
Measure Billions Unit Meaning Delayed federal discretionary spending 18 dollars Compensation and purchases delayed; not permanently lost GDP Q4 2018 real GDP reduction 3 2019 dollars Relative to estimated no-shutdown output Q1 2019 real GDP reduction 8 2019 dollars Includes estimated resumption effects GDP not expected to be recovered 3 2019 dollars Part of the combined $11 billion quarterly shortfall, not additional to it - Limits
- Considerable uncertainty. Excludes some indirect permit, certification and lending effects. National totals do not measure any individual household loss.
- Event
- October 2013 shutdown
- Fiscal year
- 2014
- Source
- Open source
- Source date
- 2014-10-15
- Public release
- 2014-11-14
- Evidence type
- GAO review of selected DOE, HHS and DOT activities
- Effects
Program Effect Limit NIH clinical-trial registry New registrations initially stopped; a small recalled staff reopened the registry. Does not establish that all clinical trials stopped. NIH grant review Review of more than 13,700 applications was rescheduled; NIH met the next January 2014 milestone. Most current recipients could still draw funds. DOE Environmental Management More than 1,700 contractor employees were laid off or required to take leave after stop-work orders. Contract activity generally continued using multiyear funding; some programs reported four months to recover. Merchant Marine Academy Closure required an academic-calendar change to allow eligible students to graduate on time. Longer-term effects cannot readily be separated from other budget events. - Follow through
- GAO recommendation to record lessons learned marked closed–implemented; OMB changed Circular A-11 in June 2015. This records procedural follow-through, not proof that future harms were prevented.