2020-2025
Wages and family premiums
+28.6% / +26%
Wages in KFF’s comparator rose slightly faster than employer family premiums during this window. Consumer prices rose 23.5%.
Operation Citizen · Household evidence · September 5, 2026
The “rising tide” claim needs a distribution test. Growth in an aggregate does not tell us who gained, what they could afford, or how the result changed over time.
Use: evidence and counterargument. You will leave with a defined period, source and household measure for testing whether a claimed gain reached citizens.
Based on Thom Barrett’s Where the Benefit Stopped. This page compares published measures; it does not infer a policy’s cause or an official’s intent from the outcomes.
THE WORK ON THIS PAGE
Choose the period and the people being measured. Compare the public success claim with wages, household costs, profits, wealth, and debt. Then ask the responsible office to show who received the benefit.
THE COMPOSITE VIEW
These cards use checked public series. The periods and units differ, so the cards belong side by side rather than on one misleading scale. Each result links to the detailed record below.
2020-2025
+28.6% / +26%
Wages in KFF’s comparator rose slightly faster than employer family premiums during this window. Consumer prices rose 23.5%.
2020 average to 2025 average
9.8% → 11.0%
This is a capital-side benchmark: national after-tax profits divided by gross domestic product, not a stock return or household income.
2019-2024 / 2019-July 2026
+0.6% / +33.0%
The endpoints differ. Median household income is inflation-adjusted; grocery prices are a price index. The contrast identifies the question and does not turn unlike measures into one ratio.
1989 Q3 to 2026 Q1
22.8% → 31.6%
This is a share of aggregate net worth. It is not annual income, a fixed group, or proof of one cause.
2026 Q2 / 1947-1999 comparison
12.1% vs. 6.1%
The latest ratio is almost twice the earlier quarterly average. Revisions may change the series, and the ratio does not show who received every gain.
Annual actuals through FY2025
Follow both
The fiscal page now moves the annual receipts, outlays, and federal debt together and keeps rescue authority, disbursement, repayment, and final cost separate.
What this establishes: aggregate growth can coexist with sharply different household and capital results. What it does not establish: that every household lost, that one policy caused every result, or that unlike measures can be added together.
USE THIS RECORD IN A PUBLIC-BENEFIT REQUEST“The question is not who was helped along the way — it is where the benefit stopped.”
When public support for enterprise is defended as a benefit to everyone, the citizen is entitled to ask for the result. A larger economy, higher profits or a rising stock price does not answer that question. Show what reached households. Show what they could afford after the bills were paid.
The record here gives that question weight. Family health premiums rose faster than the cited hourly wage measure over 2005–2025. Nearly half of renters faced high housing costs in 2024. The top 1% held a larger share of wealth in 2026 than in 1989. These are different tests over different periods. Together they give citizens reasons to demand proof of broad benefit; they do not identify which policy caused each result.
Some gains did reach households. Real median income rose over the longer periods checked here. That fact belongs in the record. The question is whether a particular promise was delivered, to whom, and at what cost. “The economy grew” is the start of that inquiry.
The public-benefit standard proposed here: when public resources support a private activity, name the promised household benefit, measure delivery and assign responsibility for correcting a shortfall.
Use the citizen request below or examine the evidence by topic.
The question / the measurement / the limit
Specify what grew: production, profits, compensation, household income, or wealth. These are different measures. A percentage increase in one cannot stand in for the others.
Compare income with the costs it must cover. Use the same dates and population. Separate a change in a national average from a change experienced by each household.
A result that changes with the period
KFF reports different relative growth over different windows. Select a period; both bars always use the same dates and a zero baseline.
A recent period in which wages grew faster qualifies an “always outruns wages” claim. It does not establish that coverage is affordable for every worker.
$26,993
Average total annual family premium, 2025.
$6,850
Average worker contribution. The total premium also includes the employer contribution; it is not all deducted from the worker’s paycheck.
Distribution, not a national average
49%
22.7 million renter households spent more than 30% of income on housing.
26%
12.1 million spent more than half. This group is included in the 49%; the figures must not be added.
Census reports a 37.9% homeownership rate for households whose householder was under 35 in the fourth quarter of 2025. This measures households, not all people under 35. The 90% margin of error is ±0.8 percentage points.
Only November and December were surveyed: a funding lapse prevented October collection. Census cautions against comparisons with other quarters. This snapshot does not establish the chapbook’s claimed ten-point fall since 1980. Census Table 6 and survey notes.
| Stock being counted | Institutional investor share |
|---|---|
| Single-family rental homes | 4% in Seattle to 22% in Jacksonville |
| All single-family homes | Less than 1% to 3% across the selected areas |
GAO studied Cincinnati, Dallas, Jacksonville, Nashville, Phoenix and Seattle. It counted investors with at least 5,000 single-family homes nationwide and holdings in at least five metro areas. The selected sample cannot support a national estimate. GAO, March 24, 2026.
Ownership concentration deserves scrutiny, but concentration alone does not establish its effect on prices or access. GAO’s 2024 review found evidence of possible price and rent increases and neighborhood stabilization; effects on homeownership opportunities and tenants remained unclear. GAO’s research review.
Ask the city or county housing office: “What evidence do you hold on investor ownership, rents and first-home access in this area? Please identify the dates, geographic boundary, owner-size threshold and housing stock counted. Which housing decisions fall within your office’s authority, and what result will you measure?”
Keep the response with dated local ownership records, rent notices or purchase figures. Separate a recorded owner from its verified parent company. Track the answer in the Action Workbench; a national percentage cannot answer a neighborhood question by itself.
The New York Fed reported $1.651 trillion in student debt in the second quarter of 2026. That was $7 billion less than the preceding quarter and $13 billion more than a year earlier. Its estimate comes from a national sample of anonymized credit reports. August 11, 2026 report release and table.
This total is not the average borrower’s balance. It does not tell us how long borrowers take to repay, or whether their interest grows faster than their wages. Those claims need a defined group of borrowers, matched dates, income and interest records, and a record of actual repayments. Different debt datasets can also have different coverage.
Federal Student Aid’s calculator estimates eligible plans, monthly payments, total principal and interest, and repayment end dates. Eligibility depends on loan type and disbursement date. Estimates are not final terms; the servicer sets those after processing. A lower monthly payment can mean a longer term and more interest. Federal Student Aid’s calculator guide.
Keep your loan type, disbursement date, principal, interest, payment history and current plan together. Ask the servicer: “Please reconcile my current balance with my payment history. Show what went to principal and interest, identify any other balance changes, and explain my current payment and projected end date with the assumptions used.”
For the public-policy question, ask your representative what a proposal changes in the monthly burden, total cost and access to education, and for which borrowers. Record the response in the Action Workbench. A change in the national balance alone does not answer those questions.
Who received compensation growth?
EPI reports real compensation growth of 1,094% for CEOs and 26% for its typical-worker measure between 1978 and 2024. Starting both at 100 makes the ending levels 1,194 and 126.
The worker series increased; it did not keep pace with the CEO series. This is a distribution comparison, not evidence that workers received no gains.
EPI’s published figures reproduce all five PF01 pay claims: about 281 to 1 in 2024 using realized CEO pay, 212.6 to 1 using granted pay, 21 to 1 in 1965, and 60 to 1 in 1989, alongside the growth figures above. EPI labels its 2024 CEO estimate a projection. Its ratios average firm-specific comparisons; the historical worker-growth series and the industry worker comparator used in the ratios are distinct. Read the definitions and verification limits.
The CEO series concerns the 350 largest publicly traded U.S. firms by sales and uses realized compensation. EPI’s worker comparator uses production/nonsupervisory compensation. It is not a fixed group of the same people tracked for 46 years.
EPI’s data and methodology. These definitions matter; CEO-to-worker pay is not a measure of every household’s purchasing power.
CMS reports national health expenditure of $5.3 trillion in 2024: $15,474 per person and 18.0% of GDP. These are spending measures, not each person’s bill or a measure of health outcomes.
CMS National Health Expenditure fact sheet. To test benefit received, add coverage, access, financial burden and health outcomes for a defined population.
A complete test needs matched-period evidence on household income, essential costs, benefits and access, including households that improved and households that did not. It also needs a separate causal design before assigning a result to a particular law or institutional practice.
Unequal compensation growth, a substantial share of renters with high housing costs, and premium–wage comparisons whose direction depends on the window.
That no household benefited, that every essential cost rose faster than every wage measure, or that missing congressional documentation caused these outcomes.
Legal authority and household outcomes are separate questions. Explaining what a legal rule permits does not measure whether a household gained. Measuring hardship does not, on its own, determine the rule’s legal status.
A price comparison with its method visible
PF-01’s $15,636 infant-care figure is confirmed in Child Care Aware of America’s equal-state average. Its other methods yield different prices:
| Averaging method | Price | Above $11,950 tuition |
|---|---|---|
| Equal-state average | $15,636 | 30.8% |
| Space-weighted average | $15,015 | 25.6% |
| Program-weighted average | $15,728 | 31.6% |
The first row reproduces PF-01’s 30.8% comparison. All three exceed the college tuition figure. Their spread shows why the averaging method belongs beside the number.
College Board reports $11,950 in published tuition and required fees for full-time in-state undergraduates at public four-year institutions in 2025–26. This excludes living expenses and does not subtract aid. College Board: 2025 pricing highlights.
This compares the scale of two prices. It does not compare identical services, the same households, or what a family pays after assistance. It is not a measure of price growth.
This reading table incorporates completed source checks and reader-facing numerical corrections while preserving the original workpaper below. Each row links to its definitions and limits.
| Measure | Figure | Period | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Existing-home price to median household income | 4.7×; 3.2× average through the 1990s | 2025 | Source and limits |
| Renters cost burdened (over 30% of income) | 22.7 million — 49% of all renters | 2024 | Source and limits |
| Renters severely burdened (over 50%) | 12.1 million — 26% of all renters | 2024 | Source and limits |
| Renters earning under $30,000 | 83% cost burdened; 67% severely burdened | 2024 | Source and limits |
| Rise in cost-burdened renters since 2019 | up 2.3 million households | 2019–2024 | Source and limits |
| Rental units below $1,000 per month, in inflation-adjusted dollars | fell by more than 7 million | 2014–2024 | Source and limits |
| Renter income against rent | incomes up 9% in real terms; rents up 30% | 2001–2024 | Source and limits |
| Home prices | up 54% nationwide | 2020–2025 | Source and limits |
| Property tax and insurance | tax up 31%; premiums up 72% | 2019–2025 | Source and limits |
| Employer-sponsored family insurance premium | $26,993, of which the worker pays $6,850 | 2025 | Source and limits |
| Family premium against wages and prices | Premium +146.2%; hourly wages +94.5%; CPI +64.9% | 2005–2025; annual averages for wages/CPI; 2025 CPI has eleven months | Source and limits |
| National health spending across all payers | $5.3 trillion; $15,474 per person; 18.0% of GDP | 2024 | Source and limits |
| Public four-year tuition and fees, real | up 244% above inflation | 1980–81 to 2023–24 | Source and limits |
| Private four-year tuition and fees, real | Up about 178% after inflation, all-private category at both endpoints | 1980–81 to 2023–24 | Source and limits |
| Outstanding student-loan balance | $1.651 trillion | Q2 2026 | Source and limits |
| Groceries | up 33.0% | 2019 annual average to July 2026 | Source and limits |
| Food as share of before-tax income | bottom fifth 33.0%; top fifth 6.4% | 2024 | Source and limits |
| Infant care in centers, equal-state average | $15,636 per year — 30.8% more than in-state public four-year tuition ($11,950) | 2025 / 2025–26 | Source and limits |
In 2024, 83% of renter households earning under $30,000 spent more than 30% of income on housing. This is the rate for a low-income group, not all renters. The housing-cost measure includes utilities.
America’s Rental Housing 2026 reports that 67% were severely burdened, meaning they spent more than half their income on housing. That figure supports the original workpaper when it is attributed to this rental report. A separate June State of the Nation’s Housing summary reports 66%. Without the unrounded tables, this page does not claim why they differ. Keep each rounded value with its named publication. Severe burdens are included within the 83%, so the percentages must not be added.
Figure 21 of the rental report adjusts household income for inflation with the Consumer Price Index. It counts households with zero or negative income as severely burdened, and those owing no rent as unburdened. These are stated measurement rules. A calculation that drops those households may produce a different rate.
Read Figure 21 and its notes, printed page 26.
If comparing the 66% and 67% publications, ask for their unrounded tables: “Please identify the data year, income cutoff, household exclusions and edition behind each severe-burden percentage.” Save the answer with the table. A rounded percentage alone cannot explain the difference.
Harvard’s June 17, 2026 summary, item 8 and Figure 7 notes · Readable check record
Six housing rows, the family-premium row, national health spending, and student debt now match the original publishers. The rental-stock threshold is inflation-adjusted. The health-premium figure covers employer-sponsored insurance, not every household medical expense. National health spending includes public and private payers; its per-person amount is not a family’s out-of-pocket bill. Student debt is the balance still owed, not an annual expense. The home-price ratio, low-income severe-burden rate, and long-run renter income/rent comparison are now checked with their source-specific limits.
Read the row-by-row verification and limitsHarvard housing releaseKFF employer surveyCMS health spendingNew York Fed student debt
The grocery-price claim checks out: the BLS food-at-home price index rose 33.0% from its 2019 annual average to July 2026. That measures prices for a basket of groceries. A family’s spending also depends on what it buys and how much.
The income comparison checks out too. In 2024, food spending represented 33.0% of before-tax income for the lowest-income fifth, compared with 6.4% for the highest-income fifth. The same necessity takes a much larger share of the smaller income.
These are different measures. One tracks grocery prices over time; the other compares food spending across income groups in one year. Use each for the question it answers.
BLS grocery-price series · USDA food and income comparison · Readable verification record
| Measure | Period | Inflation-adjusted change |
|---|---|---|
| Median household income | 1984–2024, annual | +38.6% |
| Median household income | 2019–2024, annual | +0.6% |
| Median usual weekly earnings, full-time wage and salary workers | 1986 Q2–2026 Q2 | +15.2% |
| The same weekly earnings measure | 1979 Q2–2026 Q2 | +12.8% |
These calculations reproduce PF01’s figures. They show gains, with very different results depending on the period and population. Household income can include more than one earner. Weekly earnings describe full-time wage and salary workers aged 16 and older, before deductions; they exclude self-employed workers.
The weekly comparisons use the second quarter in each year. Neither series follows the same people over decades. Changes in household size or who is working can affect the median.
Census household income · BLS weekly earnings · Inputs and calculations
Public four-year tuition and required fees rose about 244% after inflation between 1980–81 and 2023–24. NCES lists $2,872 and $9,872 in constant 2023–24 dollars.
For all private four-year institutions, the comparable amounts are $12,925 and $35,911: an increase of about 178%. PF01’s original 205% figure can be reproduced by using the later nonprofit-private amount, $39,408, against the earlier all-private amount. That mixes categories. Use 178% for this table’s all-private comparison.
These are published tuition and fees, not what students pay after grants and other aid. They exclude room and board. The table’s institutional coverage also changes over time, so it does not follow an identical set of colleges.
Complete numerical source inventory
The tables below preserve the supplied workpaper’s numerical entries, dates and source labels. They are attributed source claims, not additional independently verified findings of this HTML. The checked household table above incorporates the tuition, premium, food, and other completed checks. The original figures below remain unchanged for comparison, including figures corrected above. The three housing comparisons are now checked; WID’s later-year extrapolation status remains identified in its row. The published CBO, Auten–Splinter and WID income-share values are checked above. The wealth-share table is checked above. The real-income growth calculations are checked above. The pay claims match EPI’s published tables with the projection and method limits explained above. Both labor-share rows are checked above. The profit ratio, historical average, and record test are checked above.
The workpaper’s “uncontested” classifications are not a guarantee against revisions, definitional differences or errors. Its productivity/pay and top-income disputes remain unresolved here.
| Item | Figure | Period | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home price to household income | 5.0x, against 3.2x averaged through the 1990s | 2025 | Harvard JCHS, State of the Nation's Housing 2026, 17 Jun 2026 |
| Renters cost burdened (over 30% of income) | 22.7 million — 49% of all renters | 2024 | JCHS from Census ACS |
| Renters severely burdened (over 50%) | 12.1 million — 26% of all renters | 2024 | JCHS from Census ACS |
| Renters earning under $30,000 | 83% cost burdened; 67% severely burdened | 2024 | JCHS from Census ACS |
| Rise in cost-burdened renters since 2019 | up 2.3 million households | 2019–2024 | JCHS |
| Rental units under $1,000 per month | fell by more than 7 million | 2014–2024 | JCHS |
| Renter income against rent | incomes up 9% in real terms; rents up 30% | 2001–2024 | JCHS |
| Home prices | up 54% nationwide | 2020–2025 | JCHS |
| Property tax and insurance | tax up 31%; premiums up 72% | 2019–2025 | JCHS |
| Family health premium | $26,993, of which the worker pays $6,850 | 2025 | KFF Employer Health Benefits Survey, 22 Oct 2025 |
| Family premium against wages and prices | premium up 148.1%; production and nonsupervisory wages up 94.5%; CPI up 64.9% | 2005–2025 | Computed from KFF, BLS AHETPI, BLS CPI-U |
| Health spending | $5.3 trillion; $15,474 per person; 18.0% of GDP | 2024 | CMS National Health Expenditure Accounts |
| Public four-year tuition and fees, real | up 244% above inflation | 1980–81 to 2023–24 | NCES Digest 2024, Table 330.10 |
| Private four-year tuition and fees, real | up 205% above inflation | 1980–81 to 2023–24 | NCES Digest 2024, Table 330.10 |
| Student loan debt outstanding | $1.651 trillion | Q2 2026 | Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 11 Aug 2026 |
| Groceries | up 33.0% | 2019 to Jul 2026 | BLS CPI, food at home |
| Food as share of before-tax income | bottom fifth 33.0%; top fifth 6.4% | 2024 | USDA ERS from BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey |
| Centre-based infant care | $15,636 per year — 30.8% more than in-state public four-year tuition ($11,950) | 2025 / 2025–26 | Child Care Aware of America, 14 May 2026; College Board, Nov 2025 |
| Item | Figure | Period | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate profits after tax, share of GDP | 12.07% — the highest reading since the series opens | Q2 2026 | BEA NIPA, CPATAX divided by GDP |
| The same measure, historical average | 6.13% | 1947–1999 | BEA NIPA |
| Chief executive to typical worker pay | 281 to 1 (realised measure); 212.6 to 1 (granted measure) | 2024 | Economic Policy Institute, 25 Sep 2025 |
| The same ratio | 21 to 1 | 1965 | Economic Policy Institute |
| The same ratio | 60 to 1 | 1989 | Economic Policy Institute |
| Chief executive pay growth | up 1,094% | 1978–2024 | Economic Policy Institute |
| Typical worker pay growth, same period | up 26% | 1978–2024 | Economic Policy Institute |
| Measure | Current | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| BLS, nonfarm business sector labor share, index 2017 = 100 | 93.446 (Q2 2026) — lowest since the series opens in 1947 | 117.123 (Q4 1960). Current level is 20.2% below. |
| BEA, employee compensation as a share of gross domestic income | 50.32% (Q2 2026) — lowest since the series opens | 58.73% (Q1 1970). Current level is 8.4 points below. |
| Group | Q1 2026 | Q3 1989 |
|---|---|---|
| Top 1% | 31.6% | 22.8% |
| Next 9% | 36.3% | 38.0% |
| Next 40% | 29.6% | 35.7% |
| Bottom 50% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
| Measure | Change | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Real median household income | up 38.6% over forty years (1984 to 2024); up 0.6% since 2019 | Census CPS ASEC, 2024 dollars |
| Real median usual weekly earnings, full-time | up 15.2% over forty years (1986 to 2026); up 12.8% since 1979 | BLS CPS, 1982–84 dollars |
| Estimate | 2022 share | Note |
|---|---|---|
| World Inequality Database (Piketty, Saez, Zucman) | 20.73% pre-tax | Series carried forward flat for 2023 and 2024 — those years are extrapolation, not observation |
| Congressional Budget Office, Jan 2026 | 18% before transfers and taxes; 14% after | Rose from 9% and 7% respectively in 1979 |
| Auten and Splinter (Treasury / JCT), May 2025 | 15.5% pre-tax; 10.3% after | The principal lower-bound estimate |
Choose one public subsidy, contract, tax provision or other support measure. Save the document that promises a public benefit. Address your request to the office that administers the measure, or to the legislative office asking citizens to support it. Name the measure and the promise; do not accuse an individual on the strength of a national chart.
You have described [measure] as a benefit to [people or community]. Please identify the promised result, the starting conditions and the date by which the result was expected.
Please provide the published assessment showing who received the benefit, how much they received and what costs they bore. Include the method, source records, households left out of the assessment, and any results that fell short.
Which office is responsible for measuring delivery? What correction is available if the promise is not met? If no assessment exists, please state that and identify the next review date.
Record the date sent, the office, the promised reply date and the records received. Compare the reply with the original promise. Separate a missing record from a record showing a failed result. If the office redirects you, preserve that response and follow the named route.
Use the citizen workbench to prepare and retain your action record. A useful outcome is a checkable answer, a corrected claim or a dated commitment to measure delivery. This is a request for explanation; formal records requests must follow the relevant office’s procedure.
For any comparison, record the claim, the household group, the dates, the measure, whether prices are adjusted for inflation, the source and any contrary result. Ask what evidence would change the conclusion.
The Law’s Ideological Shield connects the Constitution’s public purposes, enforceable claims, capital and the citizen’s demand for material security. Read the source essay, legal distinctions and Federalist Society discussion.
Read the legislative appendix and checked findings: public promises, household results, rights and duration. The supplied source is preserved; full law-by-law verification remains open.
Return directly to the place in the online book that opened this tool: